Hayward Fault Scenario

The online version of “The Coming Bay Area Earthquake, 2010 Update of Scenario for a Magnitude 7.0 Earthquake on the Hayward Fault” (PDF file, 3.5 MB) is now available. In the 2010 update, the significant points from the 1996 report are summarized and then updated information is provided. Where possible, original chapter authors were interviewed and many assisted in updating their contributions.

A similar theme emerges from each area of concern: significant progress has been made, but there remain many opportunities for more strategic loss reduction. The 2010 update of the scenario is a Call to Action for the San Francisco Bay Area. As the document states, “Ten years into the new century, we have not yet reached an acceptable level of seismic safety, and it is clearly necessary for earthquake professionals to continue their advocacy. But they must take their message beyond enclosed spaces out to the stakeholders in whatever arena they can be found. Every private property owner in the Bay Area must come to understand the losses each and all of us will face, and how those impacts will harm the quality of life we enjoy in this unique part of the world.”

For more information or with questions about this activity, visit the Hayward Fault Scenario web page or contact chapter member Janiele Maffei who is leading this effort.

A presentation on the consequences of a Hayward Fault earthquake and an article (“The Hayward Fault: Is it America’s most dangerous?”) that appeared in the April 2008 issue of Catastrophe Risk Management are available for download below.  Information is also available from the 1868 Hayward Earthquake Alliance.

Download presentation “Consequences of a Future Hayward Fault Earthquake” (2.8Mb) 

Download article “The Hayward Fault: Is it America’s Most Dangerous?” (2.1Mb)